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In the previous article on working out preflop hand probability , we worked out the likelihood of being dealt different combinations of starting hands before the flop. In this article, I will cover the basics of working out the probabilities behind various possible flops.
I'll go ahead and cover the probability basics first in case you missed it in the preflop probability article. When working out flop probabilities, the main probabilities we will work with are the number of cards left in the deck and the number of cards we want to be dealt on the flop.
So for example, if we were going to deal out 1 card:. Notice how the probability changes for the second card? After we have been dealt the first card, there is now 1 less card in the deck making it 51 cards in total. Also, after already being dealt a 7, there are now only three 7s left in the deck. Always try and take care with the numbers for future cards. The numbers will change slightly as you go along.
This won't make much sense for now, but it will make a lot of sense a little further on in the article. First of all, lets work out the total number of possible flop combinations.
In other words, we will just be working out the probability of "any random flop". To work out this probability we simply multiply the probability of 3 individual cards being dealt. Pretty big combination of cards huh?